Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001567 0.001738 0.001909 0.002094 0.002286 0.002481 0.002692
2025-02-16 0.001261 0.001528 0.001806 0.002116 0.002449 0.002794 0.003178
2025-02-23 0.000915 0.001239 0.001594 0.002003 0.002458 0.002941 0.003489
2025-03-02 0.000659 0.001018 0.001432 0.001928 0.002495 0.003111 0.003823
2025-03-09 0.000474 0.000854 0.001315 0.001890 0.002563 0.003309 0.004185
2025-03-16 0.000339 0.000727 0.001229 0.001875 0.002651 0.003525 0.004565
2025-03-23 0.000260 0.000661 0.001208 0.001933 0.002818 0.003830 0.005042
2025-03-30 0.000184 0.000583 0.001162 0.001952 0.002937 0.004074 0.005450
2025-04-06 0.000126 0.000515 0.001121 0.001973 0.003051 0.004312 0.005847
2025-04-13 0.000082 0.000459 0.001088 0.001999 0.003170 0.004551 0.006245
2025-04-20 0.000039 0.000381 0.001013 0.001963 0.003207 0.004691 0.006524
2025-04-27 0.000013 0.000314 0.000946 0.001932 0.003246 0.004829 0.006799
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000286 0.000947 0.002004 0.003430 0.005160 0.007323
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000254 0.000937 0.002062 0.003601 0.005480 0.007840
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000176 0.000830 0.001974 0.003580 0.005568 0.008085
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000119 0.000746 0.001915 0.003592 0.005694 0.008376
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000080 0.000686 0.001886 0.003643 0.005867 0.008722
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000053 0.000643 0.001877 0.003719 0.006071 0.009105
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000043 0.000642 0.001939 0.003891 0.006395 0.009634
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000029 0.000620 0.001961 0.004008 0.006648 0.010076
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000017 0.000599 0.001983 0.004122 0.006898 0.010513
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000010 0.000582 0.002011 0.004243 0.007155 0.010959
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000002 0.000532 0.001976 0.004273 0.007294 0.011258